Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 5°C or below on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 5°C in Shanghai on March 17.

With a market probability of 99.95% for temperatures exceeding 5°C, the consensus is clear against a cold day. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for temperatures being 5°C or below, indicating strong confidence in warmer weather predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above 5°C.
• 2 Historical weather data for March in Shanghai supports warmer temperatures.
• 3 Liquidity in the market is high, reflecting strong participant confidence.
• 4 Time pressure is minimal with only 18 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.