Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 6°C or below on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 6°C in Shanghai on March 20.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 6°C or below, there is a strong consensus that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI probability further supports this, indicating a negligible chance of the temperature dropping to or below that threshold.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures exceeding 6°C.
• 2 Current sentiment is strongly against the possibility of low temperatures.
• 3 Historical weather patterns in March suggest warmer conditions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 10 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.