Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 16?

The market strongly predicts that Shanghai's temperature won't reach 7°C on March 16.

With a market probability of 0% for a 7°C high in Shanghai, the consensus is that this temperature will not be met. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, indicating a very low chance of this scenario occurring.

• 1 Current market sentiment is firmly against a 7°C high in Shanghai.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with minimal edge.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, suggesting strong consensus.
• 4 The Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market expectations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.