Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 7°C in Shanghai on March 18.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not hit 7°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the event occurring, though with slightly higher uncertainty.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight chance of 'YES' at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 23 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.