Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 20?

The market predicts no chance of Shanghai reaching 7°C on March 20.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of the highest temperature in Shanghai reaching 7°C on March 20, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI supports this view with a 1% probability for a YES outcome, suggesting a high confidence in the NO position. Given the time to expiry is only 1 hour, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% NO probability.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% NO.
• 3 High confidence level of 85/100 indicates strong belief in the outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is very short, limiting potential for market movement.
• 5 Current weather forecasts do not support reaching 7°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.