Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 8°C in Shanghai on March 17.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures reaching 8°C, it indicates a consensus that this threshold will not be met. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting low confidence in the YES outcome. Given the time to expiry of 15 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors temperatures above 8°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows minimal probability for the YES outcome.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, at 15 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.