Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C or below on March 13?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Shanghai will exceed 8°C on March 13.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in Shanghai will be above 8°C on March 13. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction, suggesting a very low likelihood of temperatures falling to 8°C or below. With only 7 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus on temperatures exceeding 8°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level indicates stability in predictions.
• 4 Limited time to expiry may affect liquidity and volatility.
• 5 Current weather forecasts support the prevailing market view.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.