Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 20?

The market strongly predicts that Shanghai's temperature will not reach 9°C on March 20.

Current market data shows a 0% probability for a 9°C high in Shanghai on March 20, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 1% probability for 'YES', suggesting minimal chance of a temperature rise to that level. Given the confidence rating of 80/100 and the edge of 1, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability is firmly against a 9°C high in Shanghai.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates strong belief in the current prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge for bettors.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.