Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 18°C or below on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 18°C in Shenzhen on March 21.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures at or below 18°C, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a strong belief in higher temperatures, indicating confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus on temperatures exceeding 18°C.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low probability for temperatures at or below 18°C.
• 3 Current confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.