Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 20°C in Shenzhen on March 21.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus that the highest temperature in Shenzhen will not reach 20°C on March 21, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of a temperature rise to 20°C. With 25 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced based on the current data.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against temperatures reaching 20°C.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight possibility of 1.5% for YES.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 25 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.