Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 20°C in Shenzhen on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.55% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature will exceed 20°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly lower confidence level. Given the current data, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence score of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above 20°C.
• 2 The market probability indicates a high confidence in the NO outcome.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a very low chance of reaching 20°C with only 1% probability for YES.
• 4 The edge of 0.55 indicates the market is relatively well-balanced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 23 hours remaining for this prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.