Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C or below on March 22?

Market predicts Shenzhen's temperature will exceed 20°C on March 22.

The market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Shenzhen will be above 20°C on March 22, with a 100% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of temperatures being 20°C or below, suggesting that the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above 20°C.
• 2 The probability of 1.5% for 'YES' indicates minimal chance of a cooler day.
• 3 Historical weather patterns in March typically show higher temperatures in Shenzhen.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 26 hours remaining until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.