Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C or below on March 26?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Shenzhen will exceed 20°C on March 26.

With a market probability of 100% for NO, participants overwhelmingly believe that the highest temperature will be above 20°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a minimal chance of temperatures being 20°C or below. Given the confidence level of 65/100 and a time to expiry of just 2 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against temperatures being 20°C or below.
• 2 Pulse AI reflects a very low probability for YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 The market is currently stable with no significant liquidity issues.
• 5 Time pressure is high with only 2 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.