Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on March 25?

The market strongly favors that Shenzhen's temperature won't reach 21°C on March 25.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Shenzhen will not be 21°C on March 25. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting a strong consensus against the event occurring. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows unanimous confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI closely aligns with market sentiment, indicating strong consensus.
• 3 Current confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 No liquidity issues are apparent in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.