Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C or below on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 21°C in Shenzhen on March 29.

With a market probability of 100% for NO, it indicates a consensus that the highest temperature will exceed 21°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting minimal uncertainty in this prediction. The confidence level of 80/100 reflects a strong belief in the outcome based on current data.

• 1 Market shows a clear consensus with 100% probability for NO.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 80 indicates strong belief in the outcome.
• 4 No liquidity concerns are evident in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding a layer of uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.