Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 22°C in Shenzhen on March 22.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% likelihood that the highest temperature will not reach 22°C, while the AI model suggests a slight chance of 1.5% for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and 26 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting consensus expectations.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 AI probability suggests a slight chance of YES at 1.5%.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 26 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.