Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on March 25?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Shenzhen will not reach 22°C on March 25.

Current market sentiment indicates a firm belief that the temperature will not hit 22°C, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting minimal chance for a temperature rise to that level.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 22°C.
• 2 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 3 Low probability from Pulse AI indicates minimal risk of change.
• 4 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.