Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on March 22?

The market predicts a 100% chance the temperature won't reach 23°C in Shenzhen on March 22.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome, with a 100% probability assigned to temperatures not reaching 23°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for a YES outcome at 1.5%, indicating consensus on the expected weather conditions. With 27 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced based on current forecasts.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% NO probability.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for significant changes.
• 5 Current weather forecasts do not support a rise to 23°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.