Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on March 29?

The market strongly predicts that Shenzhen's temperature will not reach 23°C on March 29.

With a market probability of 0% for a YES outcome, it is clear that participants do not expect the highest temperature in Shenzhen to hit 23°C on March 29. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 1% probability for YES, indicating a strong consensus against this temperature threshold.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors a NO outcome at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of a YES.
• 3 Confidence level of 80/100 suggests strong conviction in current predictions.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available information.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but current data suggests stability in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.