Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 24°C in Shenzhen on March 27.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not hit 24°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with the market, indicating a well-priced prediction. Confidence is high at 80/100, suggesting reliable data backing this forecast.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI also indicates a low likelihood of reaching 24°C.
• 3 High confidence level suggests strong market stability.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in the market.
• 5 Edge of 0.95 indicates the market is fairly priced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.