Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors that Shenzhen's temperature will not reach 24°C on March 30.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% belief that the highest temperature in Shenzhen will not reach 24°C on March 30. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal likelihood of a temperature rise to that level. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against reaching 24°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment with a slight chance for YES.
• 3 Confidence level of 85/100 indicates strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.