Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?

Market favors a NO outcome for Shenzhen's temperature reaching 25°C on March 27.

The prediction market shows a strong preference for a NO outcome regarding Shenzhen's temperature reaching 25°C on March 27, with a probability of 81.05%. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a slightly higher probability for YES at 21.95%. Given the confidence level of 60/100 and the edge of 3, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts suggest temperatures below 25°C.
• 3 Market probability aligns closely with AI predictions.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.