Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors that Shenzhen's temperature won't reach 25°C on March 29.

Current market data shows a definitive NO at 100%, indicating a strong consensus that the temperature will not reach 25°C. The Pulse AI probability also reflects this sentiment with a 99% likelihood of NO, suggesting confidence in this prediction. The edge score of 1 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available information.

• 1 Market consensus is overwhelmingly against reaching 25°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests reliability in current predictions.
• 4 Edge score indicates no apparent mispricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.