Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 24?

The market predicts the highest temperature in Shenzhen will not reach 26°C on March 24.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome, with a 100% probability assigned. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar view, suggesting minimal chance for a YES outcome. With only 3 hours until expiry and high confidence in the current pricing, the market appears to be accurately reflecting expectations.

• 1 Market probability for NO is at 100%, indicating strong consensus.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, suggesting reliability.
• 3 High confidence level of 90/100 reflects strong conviction in the outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in decision-making.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1, indicating stability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.