Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 25?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 26°C in Shenzhen on March 25.

The current market probability indicates a consensus that the highest temperature in Shenzhen will not reach 26°C on March 25, with a 100% NO probability. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, which also suggests a very low likelihood of the event occurring. The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market consensus is strongly against temperatures reaching 26°C.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a minimal chance of reaching the specified temperature.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO prediction.
• 4 Current weather forecasts do not support a rise to 26°C.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge for NO outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.