Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 27?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Shenzhen's temperature on March 27.

With a market probability of 92.55% for NO, it suggests a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 26°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely, indicating a slight edge for the NO outcome. Given the time to expiry is only 2 hours, the market reflects a stable sentiment with limited volatility expected.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between YES and NO indicates strong confidence.
• 3 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping market expectations.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time pressure may limit drastic shifts in market probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.