Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 30?

The market strongly indicates that Shenzhen's temperature will not reach 26°C on March 30.

The market shows a 100% probability for 'NO', suggesting a consensus that the highest temperature will be below 26°C in Shenzhen on March 30. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a strong belief in the outcome. With a confidence level of 65/100, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting a stable prediction environment.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against reaching 26°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows minimal probability for a temperature of 26°C.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Market pricing appears stable and fairly reflective of conditions.
• 5 No imminent time pressure is indicated for this market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.