Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 22?

High probability for Shenzhen's temperature reaching 27°C on March 22.

The market shows an 86.85% probability for the temperature in Shenzhen to hit 27°C on March 22, suggesting strong confidence in this outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a high likelihood but with a slightly lower probability. The edge of -3 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a YES outcome.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability is slightly lower than the market's.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 29 hours, increasing urgency.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.