Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 22?

The market is split on whether Shenzhen's temperature will reach 28°C on March 22.

With a market probability of 48.45% for YES and 51.55% for NO, the predictions are closely contested. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slight lean towards YES at 51.45%, indicating uncertainty in the forecast. The confidence level of 55/100 reflects moderate reliability in the predictions.

• 1 Market is nearly evenly split, indicating high uncertainty.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight edge for YES, but confidence is moderate.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market movements.
• 4 Current sentiment reflects a balanced view on temperature expectations.
• 5 Edge score of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.