Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Shenzhen's temperature on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, the consensus indicates that the highest temperature will not reach 28°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a strong confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 0.95.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong agreement among participants.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.
• 5 Limited liquidity may impact the ability to adjust positions easily.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.