Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 22?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 29°C in Shenzhen on March 22.

The prediction market indicates a 97.05% likelihood that the highest temperature will not reach 29°C in Shenzhen on March 22. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 94.05%, suggesting a consensus on cooler weather expectations. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 55 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures below 29°C.
• 2 The high probability of a NO outcome suggests confidence in cooler weather.
• 3 Market and AI probabilities are closely aligned, indicating consensus.
• 4 Confidence level of 55 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, increasing the urgency of weather updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.