Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 27?

Market predicts a low chance of Shenzhen reaching 29°C on March 27.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 29°C, with an 86.85% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating limited expectations for higher temperatures in Shenzhen on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI is minimal, indicating alignment.
• 3 Confidence level of 60 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 Historical weather data may influence future temperature expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.