Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 30°C in Shenzhen on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 30°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, indicating a strong likelihood of lower temperatures.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 30°C.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal chance of reaching 30°C.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the current predictions.
• 4 Market appears to be efficiently priced with a small edge.
• 5 Confidence level indicates a strong belief in the NO outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.