Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on March 26?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 30°C in Shenzhen on March 26.

The prediction market indicates a 99.9% probability that the highest temperature in Shenzhen will be below 30°C on March 26. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting a consensus on cooler weather. The edge of 0.9 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 30°C.
• 2 The probability of 99.9% suggests strong confidence in cooler weather.
• 3 Historical data may support lower temperatures for this time of year.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, potentially affecting market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.