Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on March 27?

The market predicts a low chance of Shenzhen reaching 31°C on March 27.

The current market probability indicates a 97.9% likelihood that the highest temperature in Shenzhen will be below 31°C on March 27. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of just 4 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market expectations.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time pressure is significant with only 4 hours until expiry.
• 5 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.