High probability for 32°C in Singapore on March 17, with market confidence at 65%.
The prediction market indicates a very high likelihood of the highest temperature in Singapore reaching 32°C on March 17, with a market probability of 99.85%. The Pulse AI also supports this with a 99% probability, suggesting strong consensus among participants. However, the edge of -0.85 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 65 out of 100.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.