Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 18?

The market strongly favors that Singapore's temperature won't reach 34°C on March 18.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Singapore will not hit 34°C on March 18. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for both outcomes. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability of reaching 34°C is extremely low based on available data.
• 3 Historical weather patterns suggest temperatures rarely exceed this threshold in March.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, indicating confidence in current pricing.
• 5 No imminent events are expected to significantly alter temperature forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.