Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 36°C in Singapore on March 23.

With a market probability of 99.8% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 36°C. The Pulse AI probability further supports this, indicating a low likelihood of exceeding this threshold, although there is some uncertainty reflected in the confidence score of 60/100.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 36°C.
• 2 Current weather forecasts do not indicate extreme heat.
• 3 Historical data shows temperatures rarely exceed this threshold in March.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable with low volatility.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 3 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.