Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 36°C in Singapore on March 27.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that the highest temperature will be below 36°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a temperature of 36°C or above. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 36°C.
• 2 Historical data suggests temperatures rarely exceed 36°C in March.
• 3 Current weather forecasts align with the market's NO stance.
• 4 Liquidity in this market is low, indicating limited trading activity.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.