Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C or below on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 18°C in Taipei on March 20.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 18°C or below, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability for temperatures exceeding 18°C, indicating a strong belief in higher temperatures.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures exceeding 18°C.
• 2 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly against the possibility of low temperatures.
• 3 Weather forecasts play a critical role in shaping market expectations.
• 4 Time pressure is minimal with only 1 hour until expiry.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge noted.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.