Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on March 20?

The market indicates a 0% chance of Taipei reaching 19°C on March 20.

With a market probability of 0% for a temperature of 19°C, it suggests strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely, indicating a minimal chance of 1%. Overall, the market appears to be fairly priced with high confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 0% probability for YES.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market at 1% for YES.
• 3 High confidence level of 80/100 indicates strong belief in NO outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is immediate, adding urgency to the prediction.
• 5 Edge of 1 suggests market pricing is accurate and reflective of current sentiment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.