Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on March 28?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Taipei will not reach 19°C on March 28.

Current market consensus indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Taipei will not be 19°C on March 28. The Pulse AI also aligns with this view, suggesting a very low chance of the temperature reaching that level. Given the edge score of 2, the market appears to be fairly priced based on available data.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against 19°C being reached.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a minimal chance of the temperature hitting 19°C.
• 3 The edge score indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, reflecting some uncertainty in forecasts.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.