Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on March 22?

The market predicts Taipei's temperature will not reach 20°C on March 22.

Current market sentiment indicates a strong belief that the highest temperature in Taipei will not hit 20°C, with a 100% probability assigned to 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of the temperature reaching the threshold, which aligns with the market's pricing.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against temperatures reaching 20°C.
• 2 Current probability reflects a stable outlook with low volatility.
• 3 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 4 Market appears to be fairly priced, indicating balanced information flow.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

This market will resolve to the degree indicated in its title (e.g., if a market's title indicates it will resolve to "Yes" if 21°C is the highest temperature on a given day, all temperatures within the range 21.0-21.9°C [inclusive] will qualify).

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.