Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 20°C in Taipei on March 28.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Taipei will not reach 20°C on March 28, aligning with a low AI probability of 2% for a YES outcome. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100, suggesting moderate certainty in the forecast.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against temperatures reaching 20°C.
• 2 AI model shows a slight chance for a YES outcome, indicating uncertainty.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate reliability in the current prediction.
• 4 Market pricing reflects a stable sentiment with no significant volatility.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.