Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 21°C in Taipei on March 20.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability for temperatures in Taipei not reaching 21°C on March 20. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a very low probability of 1% for the YES outcome, suggesting strong consensus against the event occurring.

• 1 Market shows a clear consensus against reaching 21°C.
• 2 High confidence level of 65/100 reflects some uncertainty.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in the market.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Low liquidity may impact the ability to adjust positions quickly.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.