Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?

High probability for Taipei's temperature to reach 21°C on March 28.

The market indicates an 86.60% probability that the highest temperature in Taipei will be 21°C on March 28, suggesting strong confidence in this outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability is lower at 77.6%, indicating a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 9 points, reflecting some uncertainty in the forecast.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
• 2 The NO side is perceived as undervalued by 9 points.
• 3 Confidence level in the market is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry for the market is currently unknown.
• 5 Weather forecasts and historical data could influence future probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.