Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on March 18?

The market strongly predicts Taipei's temperature will exceed 21°C on March 18.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures at or below 21°C, the consensus indicates a high likelihood of warmer weather. The Pulse AI corroborates this with a 99% probability for temperatures above 21°C, suggesting strong confidence in the forecast.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against temperatures at or below 21°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating high confidence.
• 3 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 No liquidity issues are evident, supporting the reliability of the market's predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.