Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 20?

The market strongly favors a high of 23°C in Taipei on March 20.

With a market probability of 99.85% for a high of 23°C, confidence in this outcome is extremely high. The Pulse AI also supports this prediction with a 99% probability, indicating strong consensus among participants. However, the edge of -0.85 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting limited room for movement in predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for the 23°C prediction.
• 2 The high probability indicates strong confidence among traders.
• 3 Historical weather patterns in March support similar temperature forecasts.
• 4 Liquidity in this market is high, allowing for quick adjustments.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 1 hour until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.