Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 22?

The market strongly favors that Taipei's temperature won't reach 23°C on March 22.

With a market probability of 0% for a YES outcome, participants overwhelmingly believe the temperature will not reach 23°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a very low likelihood of the YES outcome at 1%. Given the confidence level of 65/100, there is moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market consensus is strongly against the temperature reaching 23°C.
• 2 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the NO prediction.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, limiting the potential for significant changes.
• 4 Current sentiment reflects a stable belief in cooler temperatures.
• 5 The edge indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

This market will resolve to the degree indicated in its title (e.g., if a market's title indicates it will resolve to "Yes" if 21°C is the highest temperature on a given day, all temperatures within the range 21.0-21.9°C [inclusive] will qualify).

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.