Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 24°C in Taipei on March 20.

With a market probability of 99.85% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 24°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 1.65%. The edge indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence.

• 1 Market heavily favors NO with 99.85% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1.65%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 indicates fair pricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is immediate, adding urgency to the predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.